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Goodbye Antville, hello Blogspot Its
time to move! Antville is a symatic community but I'm...
by rolandk (2008.11.08, 16:00)
SOA at Deutsche Post Deutsche
Post is THE company which implemented SOA the first time,...
by rolandk (2008.11.04, 14:59)
noch viermal schlafen, bis
zum iRex Reader
by rolandk (2008.10.17, 16:26)
The model and the architecture
Hypothesis: Since infrastucture code is not part of the domain...
by rolandk (2008.10.17, 13:24)
Hope joost does it right
this time It's the content, stupid
http://www.joost.com/home?playNow=33l83ke#id=33l83ke
by rolandk (2008.10.14, 13:00)
Siri Bringing AI to the
interface.
I'm sceptical
http://news.cnet.com/8301-17939_109-10065136-2.html
by rolandk (2008.10.14, 09:47)
Generative Sequencing is what MDSD
gives to the Pattern Movement Look what I've found:
A...
by rolandk (2008.10.12, 12:48)
A thought on MDSD Christoper
Alexander—The pattern language that we began creating in the 1970s...
by rolandk (2008.10.10, 18:09)
Fresh and inspiring as a
hill in the morning mist.
Nasim Taleb explains the...
by rolandk (2008.09.30, 21:23)
Nach dem hier bin ich
irgendwie hungrig auf sich-beteiligen. Vielleicht besuch ja tatsächlich mal...
by rolandk (2008.09.29, 20:07)
Roland Kofler's Blog on Software Engineering on |
Friday, 4. July 2008
Theories of Probability in the 20th Century, Part I
2008.07.04, 17:41
Half way on the road, I will now give a small review of the book "Philosophical Theories of Probability" by Donald Gillies
Departing from the origins of P() theory in the 17then century, the book opens the classical theory with the analogy of Laplace's demon. The classical theory views the world as a deterministic system, probabilities cannot be inherent in objective nature but must be relative to human ignorance.Laplace believes that in an experiment we must regard every outcome as equally possible, since we cannot know better. The classical formula therefore is P(E)= m/n. The probability of outcome E is the fraction of favorable cases to E, m, and all possible cases n.
We enter 20thies century probability with pre First World War England. ... comment |
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