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Goodbye Antville, hello Blogspot Its
time to move! Antville is a symatic community but I'm...
by rolandk (11/8/08, 4:00 PM)
SOA at Deutsche Post Deutsche
Post is THE company which implemented SOA the first time,...
by rolandk (11/4/08, 2:59 PM)
noch viermal schlafen, bis
zum iRex Reader
by rolandk (10/17/08, 4:26 PM)
The model and the architecture
Hypothesis: Since infrastucture code is not part of the domain...
by rolandk (10/17/08, 1:24 PM)
Hope joost does it right
this time It's the content, stupid http://www.joost.com/home?playNow=33l83ke#id=33l83ke
by rolandk (10/14/08, 1:00 PM)
Siri Bringing AI to the
interface. I'm sceptical http://news.cnet.com/8301-17939_109-10065136-2.html
by rolandk (10/14/08, 9:47 AM)
Generative Sequencing is what MDSD
gives to the Pattern Movement Look what I've found: A...
by rolandk (10/12/08, 12:48 PM)
A thought on MDSD Christoper
Alexander—The pattern language that we began creating in the 1970s...
by rolandk (10/10/08, 6:09 PM)
Fresh and inspiring as a
hill in the morning mist. Nasim Taleb explains the...
by rolandk (9/30/08, 9:23 PM)

Roland Kofler's Blog on Software Engineering on
Made with Antville
Helma Object Publisher
Monday, 18. February 2008

Estimation Zen

[The common definition of estimate is] "the most optimistic prediction that has a non-zero probability of coming true." ... Accepting this definition leads irrevocably toward a method called what's-the-earliest-date-by-which-you-can't-prove-you-won't-be-finished estimating.—Tom DeMarco

What you give up with approaches that leave requirements undefined until the beginning of each iteration is long-range predictability about the combination of cost, schedule, and features you'll deliver several iterations down the road. As Chapter 3, "Value of Accurate Estimates," discussed, your business might prioritize that flexibility highly, or it might prefer that your projects provide more predictability.

...found in the promising Software Estimation: Demystifying the Black Art

... link


Speech Acts

John E. Searle <a href=books.google.de>"Speech Acts: An Essay in the Philosophy of Language" and an elephant never forgets his promise.

... link